Modeling geographic vaccination strategies for COVID-19 in Norway.

Vaccination was a key intervention in controlling the COVID-19 pandemic globally. In early 2021, Norway faced significant regional variations in COVID-19 incidence and prevalence, with large differences in population density, necessitating efficient vaccine allocation to reduce infections and severe outcomes. This study explored alternative vaccination strategies to minimize health outcomes (infections, hospitalizations, ICU admissions, deaths) by varying regions prioritized, extra doses prioritized, and implementation start time. Using two models (individual-based and meta-population), we simulated COVID-19 transmission during the primary vaccination period in Norway, covering the first 7 months of 2021. We investigated alternative strategies to allocate more vaccine doses to regions with a higher force of infection. We also examined the robustness of our results and highlighted potential structural differences between the two models. Our findings suggest that early vaccine prioritization could reduce COVID-19 related health outcomes by 8% to 20% compared to a baseline strategy without geographic prioritization. For minimizing infections, hospitalizations, or ICU admissions, the best strategy was to initially allocate all available vaccine doses to fewer high-risk municipalities, comprising approximately one-fourth of the population. For minimizing deaths, a moderate level of geographic prioritization, with approximately one-third of the population receiving doubled doses, gave the best outcomes by balancing the trade-off between vaccinating younger people in high-risk areas and older people in low-risk areas. The actual strategy implemented in Norway was a two-step moderate level aimed at maintaining the balance and ensuring ethical considerations and public trust. However, it did not offer significant advantages over the baseline strategy without geographic prioritization. Earlier implementation of geographic prioritization could have more effectively addressed the main wave of infections, substantially reducing the national burden of the pandemic.

Metacognitions in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a psychometric study of the metacognitions questionnaire-30.

The metacognitions questionnaire-30 (MCQ-30) was developed for the assessment of metacognitive beliefs and processes that are central components of the metacognitive model of emotional disorders. Anxiety and depression commonly occur in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Testing such a model for anxiety and depression in patients with COPD is warranted. However, the psychometric properties of the MCQ-30 in COPD patients are unknown. Therefore, in this study we aimed to examine these properties in COPD patients. The MCQ-30 was administered to 203 COPD patients referred to a rehabilitation unit in respiratory medicine. Confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) was used to test the five-factor as well as the bi-factor models of MCQ-30. Exploratory factor analyses were also performed. Both models did not meet the criteria for an acceptable fit on Comparative Fit Index (CFI) of 0.810 and 0.858 vs. criterion of ≥0.9, but the Root Mean Square Error of Approximation (RMSEA) criterion ≤0.08 was acceptable for both models with RMSEA = 0.074 and 0.066, respectively. The factors were mostly moderately correlated (0.41-0.58) with acceptable reliability coefficients (0.73-0.87). The exploratory factor analysis identified three of the five factors originally described in the five-factor model of the MCQ-30. These data show that the factor structure of the MCQ-30 appears to differ from that of the original instrument in COPD patients and further studies are needed to confirm its validity and reliability in this patient group.

Antibiotic Consumption in a Cohort of Hospitalized Adults with Viral Respiratory Tract Infection.

Development of antibiotic resistance, a threat to global health, is driven by inappropriate antibiotic usage. Respiratory tract infections (RTIs) are frequently treated empirically with antibiotics, despite the fact that a majority of the infections are caused by viruses. The purpose of this study was to determine the prevalence of antibiotic treatment in hospitalized adults with viral RTIs, and to investigate factors influencing the antibiotic decision-making. We conducted a retrospective observational study of patients ≥ 18 years, hospitalized in 2015-2018 with viral RTIs. Microbiological data were taken from the laboratory information system and information on antibiotic treatment drawn from the hospital records. To investigate decisions for prescribing antibiotic treatment, we evaluated relevant factors such as laboratory and radiological results, in addition to clinical signs. In 951 cases without secondary bacterial RTIs (median age 73 years, 53% female), 720 (76%) were prescribed antibiotic treatment, most frequently beta-lactamase-sensitive penicillins, but cephalosporins were prescribed as first-line in 16% of the cases. The median length of treatment (LOT) in the patients treated with antibiotics was seven days. Patients treated with antibiotics had an average of two days longer hospital stay compared to patients with no such treatment, but no difference in mortality was found. Our study revealed that there is still a role for antimicrobial stewardship to further improve antibiotic use in patients admitted for viral RTIs in a country with relatively low antibiotic consumption.

A real-time regional model for COVID-19: Probabilistic situational awareness and forecasting.

The COVID-19 pandemic is challenging nations with devastating health and economic consequences. The spread of the disease has revealed major geographical heterogeneity because of regionally varying individual behaviour and mobility patterns, unequal meteorological conditions, diverse viral variants, and locally implemented non-pharmaceutical interventions and vaccination roll-out. To support national and regional authorities in surveilling and controlling the pandemic in real-time as it unfolds, we here develop a new regional mathematical and statistical model. The model, which has been in use in Norway during the first two years of the pandemic, is informed by real-time mobility estimates from mobile phone data and laboratory-confirmed case and hospitalisation incidence. To estimate regional and time-varying transmissibility, case detection probabilities, and missed imported cases, we developed a novel sequential Approximate Bayesian Computation method allowing inference in useful time, despite the high parametric dimension. We test our approach on Norway and find that three-week-ahead predictions are precise and well-calibrated, enabling policy-relevant situational awareness at a local scale. By comparing the reproduction numbers before and after lockdowns, we identify spatially heterogeneous patterns in their effect on the transmissibility, with a stronger effect in the most populated regions compared to the national reduction estimated to be 85% (95% CI 78%-89%). Our approach is the first regional changepoint stochastic metapopulation model capable of real time spatially refined surveillance and forecasting during emergencies.

Analysis of Systemic Epigenetic Alterations in Inflammatory Bowel Disease: Defining Geographical, Genetic and Immune-Inflammatory influences on the Circulating Methylome.

BACKGROUND: Epigenetic alterations may provide valuable insights into gene-environment interactions in the pathogenesis of inflammatory bowel disease [IBD]. METHODS: Genome-wide methylation was measured from peripheral blood using the Illumina 450k platform in a case-control study in an inception cohort (295 controls, 154 Crohn's disease [CD], 161 ulcerative colitis [UC], 28 IBD unclassified [IBD-U)] with covariates of age, sex and cell counts, deconvoluted by the Houseman method. Genotyping was performed using Illumina HumanOmniExpressExome-8 BeadChips and gene expression using the Ion AmpliSeq Human Gene Expression Core Panel. Treatment escalation was characterized by the need for biological agents or surgery after initial disease remission. RESULTS: A total of 137 differentially methylated positions [DMPs] were identified in IBD, including VMP1/MIR21 [p = 9.11 × 10-15] and RPS6KA2 [6.43 × 10-13], with consistency seen across Scandinavia and the UK. Dysregulated loci demonstrate strong genetic influence, notably VMP1 [p = 1.53 × 10-15]. Age acceleration is seen in IBD [coefficient 0.94, p < 2.2 × 10-16]. Several immuno-active genes demonstrated highly significant correlations between methylation and gene expression in IBD, in particular OSM: IBD r = -0.32, p = 3.64 × 10-7 vs non-IBD r = -0.14, p = 0.77]. Multi-omic integration of the methylome, genome and transcriptome also implicated specific pathways that associate with immune activation, response and regulation at disease inception. At follow-up, a signature of three DMPs [TAP1, TESPA1, RPTOR] were associated with treatment escalation to biological agents or surgery (hazard ratio of 5.19 [CI: 2.14-12.56], logrank p = 9.70 × 10-4). CONCLUSION: These data demonstrate consistent epigenetic alterations at diagnosis in European patients with IBD, providing insights into the pathogenetic importance and translational potential of epigenetic mapping in complex disease.

Maternal cytomegalovirus infection and delayed language development in children at 3 years of age-a nested case-control study in a large population-based pregnancy cohort.

INTRODUCTION: Maternal cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection in pregnancy may result in vertical transmission of CMV to the child. Long-term effects of congenital CMV infection include visual, cognitive as well as neurological impairment. The aim of this study was to estimate the odds ratios for CMV seropositivity and seroconversion in mothers, with and without delayed language development in 3 year old children, nested within a large cohort. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The Norwegian Mother, Father and Child Cohort Study (MoBa) is a prospective population-based pregnancy cohort that includes 95 200 mothers and 114 500 children. Blood samples were obtained from mothers during pregnancy weeks 17 or 18 in pregnancy and after birth. We included 300 women from MoBa with children suffering from delayed language development at three years of age, based on validated questionnaires. Within the cohort, 1350 randomly selected women were included as controls to perform a nested case-control study. The cases and controls were tested for CMV IgG antibodies by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. RESULTS: Among mothers of cases, 63.2% were CMV-IgG positive in the sample at birth, as compared to 55.9% among controls; OR 1.36, (95% CI; 1.05 to 1.76). Also, among case mothers, 8/118 (6.8%) initially seronegative cases, seroconverted. Among initially seronegative controls, seroconversion occurred in 23/618 (3.7%) mothers. The OR for seroconversion in cases as compared to control mothers was 1.88 (CI; 0.82 to 4.31), thus not statistically significant different. CONCLUSION: This study shows a higher risk of delayed language development at three years of age in children born by mothers seropositive for CMV, compared to children born from seronegative mothers.

Molecular epidemiology and antibiotic resistance profiles of invasive Haemophilus influenzae from Norway 2017-2021.

Invasive Haemophilus influenzae (Hi) disease has decreased in countries that included Hi type b (Hib) vaccination in their childhood immunization programs in the 1990s. Non-typeable (NT) and non-b strains are now the leading causes of invasive Hi disease in Europe, with most cases reported in young children and the elderly. Concerningly, no vaccines toward such strains are available and beta-lactam resistance is increasing. We describe the epidemiology of invasive Hi disease reported to the Norwegian Surveillance System for Communicable Diseases (MSIS) (2017-2021, n = 407). Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) was performed on 245 isolates. We investigated the molecular epidemiology (core genome phylogeny) and the presence of antibiotic resistance markers (including chromosomal mutations associated with beta-lactam or quinolone resistance). For isolates characterized with both WGS and phenotypic antibiotic susceptibility testing (AST) (n = 113) we assessed correlation between resistance markers and susceptibility categorization by calculation of sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values. Incidence rates of invasive Hi disease in Norway ranged from 0.7 to 2.3 per 100,000 inhabitants/year (mean 1.5 per 100,000) and declined during the COVID-19 pandemic. The bacterial population consisted of two major phylogenetic groups with subclustering by serotype and multi-locus sequence type (ST). NTHi accounted for 71.8% (176). The distribution of STs was in line with previous European reports. We identified 13 clusters, including four encapsulated and three previously described international NTHi clones with bla TEM-1 (ST103) or altered PBP3 (rPBP3) (ST14/IIA and ST367/IIA). Resistance markers were detected in 25.3% (62/245) of the isolates, with bla TEM-1 (31, 50.0%) and rPBP3 (28, 45.2%) being the most frequent. All isolates categorized as resistant to aminopenicillins, tetracycline or chloramphenicol possessed relevant resistance markers, and the absence of relevant substitutions in PBP3 and GyrA/ParC predicted susceptibility to cefotaxime, ceftriaxone, meropenem and quinolones. Among the 132 WGS-only isolates, one isolate had PBP3 substitutions associated with resistance to third-generation cephalosporins, and one isolate had GyrA/ParC alterations associated with quinolone resistance. The detection of international virulent and resistant NTHi clones underlines the need for a global molecular surveillance system. WGS is a useful supplement to AST and should be performed on all invasive isolates.

Clinical Outcome of Viral Respiratory Tract Infections in Hospitalized Adults in Norway: High Degree of Inflammation and Need of Emergency Care for Cases With Respiratory Syncytial Virus.

Background: The clinical features and outcomes of viral respiratory tract infections (RTIs) in adults have not been thoroughly studied, especially the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease burden. It has become apparent that outbreaks of RSV in the elderly are associated with increased hospitalization rates. However, little data exists on the severity of such viral RTIs in adults, particularly the need for hospitalization, respiratory support and intensive care. Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational single-center study at Østfold Hospital Trust, Norway, during three winter seasons 2015-2018. Patients ≥18 years with either influenza A, influenza B, RSV A/B, human metapneumovirus, parainfluenza virus 1-4 or adenovirus detected in respiratory specimens were included, if they were hospitalized 14 days prior or following the detection date, with signs of RTI. Hospital records on treatment and outcome were investigated, as well as mortality of all causes up to 30 days from discharge. Results: Of the 1222 infection events that were included, influenza A was the most frequent virus detected (39%), while 179 infection events (14.6%) were due to RSV. Influenza B counted for 24% of the infection events, human metapneumovirus 13%, parainfluenza virus 9% and adenovirus 1%. Patients admitted with RSV more often suffered from COPD and congestive heart failure than patients with influenza A. In addition, RSV patients were overrepresented in the urgent response NEWS score (National Early Warning Score) category ≥5. RSV patients also showed signs of more severe inflammation, with WBC ≥11.1 × 109/L and CRP >100 mg/L, and they were more often treated with antibiotic agents during their hospital stay. However, we found no differences in the need for ICU admission or mortality. Conclusion: Patients with RSV had more often high values for markers of inflammation and elevated NEWS score when compared to patients hospitalized with other common respiratory viruses. Taken into account that they suffered more frequently from comorbidities like COPD, these patients needed hospitalization more urgently. These findings highlight the need for further investigations on RSV disease in adults and the elderly.

Characterisation of the Circulating Transcriptomic Landscape in Inflammatory Bowel Disease Provides Evidence for Dysregulation of Multiple Transcription Factors Including NFE2, SPI1, CEBPB, and IRF2.

AIM: To assess the pathobiological and translational importance of whole-blood transcriptomic analysis in inflammatory bowel disease [IBD]. METHODS: We analysed whole-blood expression profiles from paired-end sequencing in a discovery cohort of 590 Europeans recruited across six countries in the IBD Character initiative (newly diagnosed patients with Crohn's disease [CD; n = 156], ulcerative colitis [UC; n = 167], and controls [n = 267]), exploring differential expression [DESeq2], co-expression networks [WGCNA], and transcription factor involvement [EPEE, ChEA, DoRothEA]. Findings were validated by analysis of an independent replication cohort [99 CD, 100 UC, 95 controls]. In the discovery cohort, we also defined baseline expression correlates of future treatment escalation using cross-validated elastic-net and random forest modelling, along with a pragmatic ratio detection procedure. RESULTS: Disease-specific transcriptomes were defined in IBD [8697 transcripts], CD [7152], and UC [8521], with the most highly significant changes in single genes, including CD177 (log2-fold change [LFC] = 4.63, p = 4.05 × 10-118), MCEMP1 [LFC = 2.45, p = 7.37 × 10-109], and S100A12 [LFC = 2.31, p = 2.15 × 10-93]. Significantly over-represented pathways included IL-1 [p = 1.58 × 10-11], IL-4, and IL-13 [p = 8.96 × 10-9]. Highly concordant results were obtained using multiple regulatory activity inference tools applied to the discovery and replication cohorts. These analyses demonstrated central roles in IBD for the transcription factors NFE2, SPI1 [PU.1], CEBPB, and IRF2, all regulators of cytokine signalling, based on a consistent signal across cohorts and transcription factor ranking methods. A number of simple transcriptome-based models were associated with the need for treatment escalation, including the binary CLEC5A/CDH2 expression ratio in UC (hazard ratio = 23.4, 95% confidence interval [CI] 5.3-102.0). CONCLUSIONS: Transcriptomic analysis has allowed for a detailed characterisation of IBD pathobiology, with important potential translational implications.

Mucosal Gene Transcript Signatures in Treatment Naïve Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Comparative Analysis of Disease to Symptomatic and Healthy Controls in the European IBD-Character Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Studies of the mucosal transcriptomic landscape have given new insight into the pathogenesis of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Recently, the predictive biomarker potential of gene expression signatures has been explored. To further investigate the mucosal gene expression in IBD, we recruited a cohort of treatment naïve patients and compared them to both symptomatic and healthy controls. METHODS: Altogether, 323 subjects were included: Crohn's disease (N = 75), ulcerative colitis (N = 87) and IBD unclassified (N = 3). Additionally, there were two control groups: symptomatic controls (N = 131) and healthy controls (N = 27). Mucosal biopsies were collected during ileocolonoscopy and gene expression in inflamed and non-inflamed mucosa was explored. Gene expression profiling was performed using Agilent G3 Human Gene Expression 860K v3 One-Color microarray. We recorded information about treatment escalation to anti-TNF agents or surgery, and anti-TNF response, to explore predictive opportunities of the mucosal transcriptome. RESULTS: Gene expression profiles in symptomatic controls in whom IBD had been excluded resembled that of IBD patients and diverged from that of healthy controls. In non-inflamed Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis, gene set enrichment analysis revealed dysregulation of pathways involved in basic cellular biological processes. Mitochondria-associated pathways were dysregulated both in non-inflamed and inflamed Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis (>2.6 normalized enrichment scores <-1.8). Gene expression signatures of Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis did not predict time for treatment escalation (p = 0.175). No significant association was found between gene expression signatures and anti-TNF response. CONCLUSION: Non-inflamed samples are probably superior to inflamed samples when exploring gene expression signatures in IBD and might reveal underlying mechanisms central for disease initiation. The gene expression signatures of the control groups were related to if they were symptomatic or not, which may have important implications for future study designs.

Increased transmissibility of the alpha SARS-CoV-2 variant: evidence from contact tracing data in Oslo, January to February 2021.

BACKGROUND: Information about the contagiousness of new SARS-CoV-2 variants, including the alpha lineage, and how they spread in various locations is essential. Country-specific estimates are needed because local interventions influence transmissibility. METHODS: We analysed contact tracing data from Oslo municipality, reported from January through February 2021, when the alpha lineage became predominant in Norway and estimated the relative transmissibility of the alpha lineage with the use of Poisson regression. RESULTS: Within households, we found an increase in the secondary attack rate by 60% (95% CI 20-114%) among cases infected with the alpha lineage compared to other variants; including all close contacts, the relative increase in the secondary attack rate was 24% (95% CI -6%-43%). There was a significantly higher risk of infecting household members in index cases aged 40-59 years who were infected with the alpha lineage; we found no association between transmission and household size. Overall, including all close contacts, we found that the reproduction number among cases with the alpha lineage was increased by 24% (95% CI 0%-52%), corresponding to an absolute increase of 0.19, compared to the group of index cases infected with other variants. CONCLUSION: Our study suggests that households are the primary locations for rapid transmission of the new lineage alpha.

Stool dynamics after extrinsic nerve injury during right colectomy with extended D3-mesenterectomy.

INTRODUCTION: To improve oncological outcome in right colon cancer surgery, an extended mesenterectomy (D3) is under evaluation. In this procedure, all tissue anterior and posterior to the superior mesenteric vessels from the middle colic to ileocolic artery origin is removed, causing injury to the superior mesenteric nerve plexus. The aim was to study the effects of this injury on bowel dynamics and quality of life (QoL). METHODS: Patients undergoing right colectomy with conventional D2- and extended D3-mesenterectomy were asked to record stool number and consistency for 60 d after surgery and complete questionnaires regarding QoL and bowel function (BF) before and after recovery from surgery. We compared early postoperative stool dynamics and long-term QoL in the groups and presented graphs depicting the temporal profile of stool numbers and consistency. RESULTS: Thirty-three patients operated with a D3-resection and 12 patients with a D2-resection participated. The results revealed significantly higher stool numbers in the D3-group until day 26, with significantly more loose-watery stools until day 40. The most pronounced difference was found on day 9 (Mean difference in the total number of stools: 2.25 stools/day, p=.004. Mean difference in loose-watery stools/day: 2.81 p<.001). About 25% in the D2- and 69.7% in the D3-group reported having more than three stools/day in the early postoperative phase. There were no differences in long-term QoL and BF between the groups except in stool consistency (p=.039). DISCUSSION/CONCLUSIONS: Denervation following extended D3-mesenterectomy leads to transitory reduced consistency and increased frequency. It does not affect long-term QoL or BF.

Hypophosphatemia after high-dose intravenous iron treatment in patients with inflammatory bowel disease: Mechanisms and possible clinical impact.

BACKGROUND: High-dose intravenous iron is an effective treatment option for iron deficiency (ID) or ID anaemia (IDA) in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). However, treatment with ferric carboxymaltose (FCM) has been associated with the development of hypophosphatemia. AIM: To investigate mechanisms behind the development of hypophosphatemia after intravenous iron treatment, and disclose symptoms and clinical manifestations related to hypophosphatemia short-term. METHODS: A prospective observational study of adult IBD patients with ID or IDA was conducted between February 1, 2017 and July 1, 2018 at two separate university hospitals in the southeast region of Norway. Patients received one dose of 1000 mg of either FCM or ferric derisomaltose (FDI) and were followed for an observation period of at least 7 wk. Blood and urine samples were collected for relevant analyses at baseline, week 2 and at week 6. Clinical symptoms were assessed at the same timepoints using a respiratory function test, a visual analogue scale, and a health-related quality of life questionnaire. RESULTS: A total of 106 patients was available for analysis in this study. The FCM treatment group consisted of 52 patients and hypophosphatemia was present in 72.5% of the patients at week 2, and in 21.6% at week 6. In comparison, the FDI treatment group consisted of 54 patients and 11.3% of the patients had hypophosphatemia at week 2, and 3.7% at week 6. The difference in incidence was highly significant at both week 2 and 6 (P < 0.001 and P < 0.013, respectively). We observed a significantly higher mean concentration of intact fibroblast growth factor 23 (P < 0.001), a significant rise in mean urine fractional excretion of phosphate (P = 0.004), a significant decrease of 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D (P < 0.001) and of ionised calcium levels (P < 0.012) in the FCM-treated patients compared with patients who received FDI. No clinical symptoms could with certainty be related to hypophosphatemia, since neither the respiratory function test, SF-36 (36-item short form health survey) or the visual analogue scale scores resulted in significant differences between patients who developed hypophosphatemia or not. CONCLUSION: Fibroblast growth factor 23 has a key role in FCM induced hypophosphatemia, probably by inducing loss of phosphate in the urine. Short-term clinical impact of hypophosphatemia was not demonstrated.

Stratification of Stage III colon cancer may identify a patient group not requiring adjuvant chemotherapy.

PURPOSE: Adjuvant chemotherapy for colon cancer with lymph node involvement (Stage III) has been the standard of care since the 1990s. Meanwhile, considerable evolvement of surgery combined with dedicated histopathological examinations may have led to stage migration. Furthermore, prognostic factors other than lymph node involvement have proven to affect overall survival. Thus, adjuvant chemotherapy in Stage III colon cancer should be reconsidered. The objective was to compare recurrence rates and survival in stage III colon cancer patients treated with or without adjuvant chemotherapy. Further, to assess the impact of extensive mesenterectomy, lymph node stage and vascular invasion on outcome. METHODS: Consecutive patients operated for Stage III colon carcinoma between 31 December 2005 and 31 December 2015 were identified in the pathological code register by matching colon (T67) and either adenocarcinoma (M81403) or mucinous adenocarcinoma (M84803), with lymph node (T08) and metastasis of adenocarcinoma (M81406 or M84806). Medical records of all identified patients were reviewed. RESULTS: Of 216 identified patients, 69 received no postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (group NC), 69 insufficient adjuvant chemotherapy (FLV or < minimum recommended 6 cycles FLOX, group IC), and 78 sufficient adjuvant chemotherapy (≥ 6 cycles FLOX, group SC). When adjusted for age and comorbidity, 5-year overall survival did not differ statistically significant between groups (76% vs. 83% vs. 85%, respectively). Vascular invasion and a high lymph node ratio significantly reduced overall survival. CONCLUSION: The findings imply that subgroups of Stage III colon cancer patients have good prognosis also without adjuvant chemotherapy. For definite conclusions about necessity of adjuvant chemotherapy, prospective trials are needed.

Accuracy of breast MRI in patients receiving neoadjuvant endocrine therapy: comprehensive imaging analysis and correlation with clinical and pathological assessments.

PURPOSE: To assess the accuracy of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) measurements in locally advanced oestrogen receptor-positive and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative breast tumours before, during and after neoadjuvant endocrine treatment (NET) for evaluation of tumour response in comparison with clinical and pathological assessments. METHODS: This prospective study enrolled postmenopausal patients treated neoadjuvant with letrozole and exemestane given sequentially in an intra-patient cross-over regimen. Fifty-four patients were initially recruited, but only 35 fulfilled the inclusion criteria and confirmed to participate with a median age of 77. Tumours were scanned with MRI prior to treatment, during the eighth week of treatment and prior to surgery. Additionally, changes in longest diameter on clinical examination (CE) and tumour size at pathology were determined. Pre- and post-operative measurements of tumour size were compared in order to evaluate tumour response. RESULTS: The correlation between post-treatment MRI size and pathology was moderate and higher with a correlation coefficient (r) 0.64 compared to the correlation between CE and pathology r = 0.25. Post-treatment MRI and clinical results had a negligible bias towards underestimation of lesion size. Tumour size on MRI and CE had 0.82 cm and 0.52 cm lower mean size than tumour size measured by pathology, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The higher correlation between measurements of residual disease obtained on MRI and those obtained with pathology validates the accuracy of imaging assessment during NET. MRI was found to be more accurate for estimating complete responses than clinical assessments and warrants further investigation in larger cohorts to validate this finding.

Natural Variation of Vitamin D and Neurofilament Light Chain in Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis.

Background: High serum levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) have been found among patients with a favorable disease course in relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS), indicating that this may limit clinical deterioration. Clinical deterioration in RRMS correlates with increasing serum levels of neurofilament light chain (NfL). Objectives: To examine the association between physiological variations in serum 25(OH)D and NfL levels in RRMS patients before and during disease modifying therapy (DMT). Material and Methods: Serum 25(OH)D and NfL concentrations were measured in 85 newly diagnosed RRMS patients enrolled in a 24-month randomized double-blinded placebo-controlled trial of ω-3 fatty acid supplementation without vitamin D. Patients were without DMT until interferon ß-1a (IFN-ß) initiation at study month 6. Longitudinal serum measurements and brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) were obtained. Associations between 25(OH)D and NfL levels were analyzed with linear regression models for the whole study period and the periods before and during IFN-ß treatment. Analyses with adjustment for inflammatory MRI disease activity were also performed. Results: No significant associations were found between variations in 25(OH)D and NfL levels during the whole study period (p = 0.95), or the periods without (p = 0.78) or with (p = 0.33) IFN-ß therapy. Patients with inflammatory MRI disease activity had significantly higher serum NfL levels than patients without inflammatory MRI disease activity [mean (SD) difference 12.6 (2.0) pg/mL, p < 0.01]. Adjustment for this did not change the relationship between 25(OH)D and NfL concentrations. Conclusion: Natural variations in serum 25(OH)D values do not seem to be associated with alterations in serum NfL concentrations in RRMS patients.

Patient affect, physician liking for the patient, physician behavior, and patient reported outcomes: A modeling approach.

OBJECTIVE: To determine associations between patient affect and physician liking of the patient, and their associations with physician behavior and patient-reported outcomes. METHODS: Structural equation modeling based on coding of 497 videotaped hospital encounters, with questionnaires assessing pre-visit patient affect, post-visit patient affect and encounter evaluations, and physician liking of the patient, involving 71 physicians. RESULTS: In first visits, patient reported outcomes were strongly correlated with physician behavior and less so with physician liking, while in later visits, patient reported outcomes were directly related to physician liking and not mediated by physician behavior. Physician liking predicted physician behavior, more for female physicians in first visits. Patient negative affect before the visit was negatively associated with male physicians' liking. When acquainted, both patient positive and negative affect were associated with physician liking. CONCLUSION: Physician liking of the patient plays a dynamic role in a consultation, is influenced by patient pre-encounter affect, and influences physician behavior. The dynamics are different in first and later visits, and influenced by physician gender. PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS: Physicians should be aware how patient affect influences their behavior, and administrators should take any prior relationship between patient and physician into account when evaluating patient reported outcomes.

The NEOLETEXE trial: a neoadjuvant cross-over study exploring the lack of cross resistance between aromatase inhibitors.

The aromatase inhibitor letrozole (Femar®/Femara®) and the aromatase inactivator exemestane (Aromasin®) differ in their biochemical effect on the aromatase enzyme. Letrozole is a competitive aromatase inhibitor while exemestane binds irreversibly to the aromatase enzyme. This pharmacological difference is of clinical interest since a lack of cross-resistance has been documented. It has been demonstrated in several clinical trials that exemestane may cause a disease regression following resistance to nonsteroidal aromatase inhibitors. The exact mechanism(s) behind this phenomenon is yet unknown. Here, we present the NEOLETEXE trial with the aim of exploring the individual mechanisms involved behind the observed lack of cross resistance. Clinical trial registration: The trial has been approved by the Regional Ethics Committee of South-East Norway (project number 2015/84).

Incidence of hypophosphatemia in patients with inflammatory bowel disease treated with ferric carboxymaltose or iron isomaltoside.

BACKGROUND: Iron deficiency and iron deficiency anaemia are common complications in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). In patients with moderate-to-severe anaemia, oral iron intolerance or ineffectiveness of oral iron, ferric carboxymaltose and iron isomaltoside are widely used. Hypophosphatemia is a side effect of both preparations. AIMS: To investigate the occurrence of hypophosphatemia in IBD patients with iron deficiency/iron deficiency anaemia treated with high-dose intravenous iron. METHODS: A prospective observational study of adult IBD patients with iron deficiency/iron deficiency anaemia was conducted at two study sites where patients received 1000 mg of ferric carboxymaltose or iron isomaltoside. At baseline, weeks 2 and 6, blood and faecal samples were collected. The primary endpoint was to determine the incidence of moderate-to-severe hypophosphatemia. Secondary endpoints included the total incidence of hypophosphatemia, possible risk factors for hypophosphatemia, and response to single-dose intravenous iron. RESULTS: One hundred and thirty patients were included. In the per-protocol set, 52 patients received ferric carboxymaltose and 54 patients received iron isomaltoside. Ferric carboxymaltose treatment had a significantly higher incidence of moderate-to-severe hypophosphatemia compared with iron isomaltoside at week 2 (56.9% vs 5.7%, P < 0.001) and a higher incidence at week 6 (13.7% vs 1.9%, P = 0.054).The overall incidence of hypophosphatemia was significantly higher with ferric carboxymaltose compared with iron isomaltoside treatment at weeks 2 (72.5% vs 11.3%, P < 0.001) and 6 (21.6% vs 3.7%, P = 0.013). CONCLUSIONS: In IBD patients with iron deficiency/iron deficiency anaemia, ferric carboxymaltose was associated with higher incidence, severity and persistence of hypophosphatemia compared with iron isomaltoside. The presence of moderate-to-severe hypophosphatemia beyond 6 weeks is a clinical concern that requires further investigation.